Launching
Judith February will interview author Jakkie Cilliers
Three Possible Futures for South Africa
Date Thursday 3 August
Time 6 p.m.
Venue Buitenverwachting’s Wine Tasting Room
August is a month that is going to go down as an important one for South Africa. We are fortunate in that before the momentous impeachment vote in Parliament on the 8th August we are going to be able to hear an interview of Jakkie Cilliers by Judith February at the launch of his book Fate of the Nation.
This will take place in the historic Wine Tasting Room at Buitenverwachting we will quaff some wine and a light meal of delicious breads with Adrienne Kirchbaum’s delicious home-made soup to feed the inner person.
THE BOOK
Incisive, bold and sobering. A revealing forecast and a call to action – CYRIL RAMAPHOSA
What does our future hold? Will the ANC split within the next five years? Could the DA rule the country in 2024? Will the EFF form an alliance with the ANC? What should we do to make our economy grow at levels that will impact on poverty and inequality? Will we become a more tolerant or a more violent society?
In Fate of the Nation scenario expert, Jakkie Cilliers answers all these and many other questions. He has developed three detailed scenarios for our immediate future and beyond – Bafana Bafana; Nation Divided and Mandela Magic.
According to Cilliers, the ANC is in many ways paralysed by the power struggle between what he calls the Traditionalists (supporters of Jacob Zuma) and the Reformers (led by Cyril Ramaphosa and others). This power struggle leads to policy confusion, poor leadership and general ineptitude in the civil service.
Key to which scenario will become our reality is who will be elected to the ANC’s top leadership at their national conference in December 2017. Whichever group wins will determine what our future holds. We could also see a compromise grouping being selected Cilliers says, in which case the Bafana Bafana scenario – where we simply muddle along as a country – is the strongest
possibility.
A book for all concerned South Africans.
Jakkie Cilliers
THE AUTHOR
JAKKIE CILLIERS is a well‐known political and Africa analyst and commentator. He was the executive director of the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) for many years and currently serves as chairman of the board of trustees. Cilliers has written and published several dozen books, monographs and papers.
He is an Extraordinary Professor at the Centre of Human Rights and the Department of Political Sciences at the University of Pretoria. His current interests relate to issues around South Africa and Africa’s long‐term future.
Judith February
THE INTERVIEWER
JUDITH FEBRUARY describes herself on twitter as ‘governance specialist, lapsed lawyer, columnist, lover of words, latte drinker, fellow traveller, Classicist & cricket fan.’
Judith was previously executive director of the HSRC’s Democracy and Governance unit and also head of the Idasa’s South African Governance programme for 12 years. Presently she is the Senior Research Associate of the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in Cape Town.
She studied law at the UCT where she obtained her BA [Law] and her LLB degrees in 1991 and 1993 respectively. She was then admitted as an attorney in 1996 and practised law in Cape Town until 2000. In 2000 she obtained her LLM in Commercial Law also from the UCT.
For more information email sandybailey@telkomsa.net or telephone 021 685 8016.
